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Table of Contents • • catastrophic events, and resulting interruptions in the availability of our models, platform, and applications; and general economic conditions in either U.S. or non-U.S. markets, including geopolitical uncertainty and instability and their effects on software spending. Any one or more of the factors above, or other factors in this “Risk Factors” section, may result in significant fluctuations in our results of operations or other key metrics, which may cause such results to fall below our financial guidance or other projections or the expectations of analysts or investors, and cause the market price of our Class A common stock to decline. Certain of our operating metrics are subject to assumptions and limitations. As a result, these metrics may not provide an accurate indication of our actual performance or future results. Certain of our operating metrics, such as Run-Rate Revenue, Net Revenue Retention, customer counts, and Claude’s success rate, are based on numerous assumptions and limitations, are calculated using data from internal systems and tools, have not been independently verified by third parties, are subject to inherent limitations in measurement, and may not accurately reflect actual results or provide an accurate indication of future or expected results. Run-Rate Revenue is not a substitute for revenue prepared in accordance with GAAP or a forecast of revenue. Because Run-Rate Revenue annualizes our consumption-based fees for a trailing 28-day period and our subscription-based fees for a single month, it assumes that activity during those measurement periods has continued at the same rate for a full year. Because it annualizes a short measurement period, Run-Rate Revenue measured during a period of seasonally higher or lower usage, such as the reduced usage we have typically experienced around holiday and vacation periods in the summer and winter, may differ significantly from Run- Rate Revenue measured at other times, and in each case may not correspond to the revenue we ultimately recognize over any quarter or fiscal year. Our actual historical revenue and future revenue may differ materially from this measure. Both our consumption-based and subscription-based revenue may fluctuate from period to period, and in particular, our consumption-based revenue may fluctuate significantly or decline if customers reduce, limit, or do not expand their usage or spend, or shift usage to lower-priced models, including in response to competitive offerings, pricing changes, changes in customer budgets or strategic priorities regarding AI investment, seasonality, or general economic conditions. In addition, sustaining and growing this revenue depends on our ability to continue to offer models at the frontier of AI capability, which we may not be able to do. Our ability or decision to remain at the frontier may also be affected by the safety and risk mitigation measures we implement in developing and releasing our models. Our recent Run-Rate Revenue growth has also been driven in part by rapid initial customer adoption and expansion often characteristic of an early-adoption period and the nascency of the AI market that may not be sustainable, and we expect our Run-Rate Revenue growth rate to decline over time, and it may decline significantly and more rapidly than we anticipate, as our revenue base increases, as the market matures, and as a result of other factors. In addition, our Run-Rate Revenue has included, and we expect will continue to include, amounts from customers that we subsequently determine are using our models, platform, and applications in violation of our usage policy or commercial terms. When we identify such usage, we seek to restrict or terminate the customer’s access; however, because our detection, investigation, and enforcement take time, our Run-Rate Revenue as of any measurement date includes amounts from customers that have not yet been restricted or terminated and whose revenue would not be expected to recur following restriction or termination of their access. Our continued enforcement efforts may reduce our revenue, Run-Rate Revenue, and growth rates in future periods. See “—Our results of operations may fluctuate significantly on a period-to-period basis, including as a result of strategic investment decisions and substantial compute-related expenditures, which could cause the market price of our Class A common stock to decline.” Accordingly, our Run-Rate Revenue as of any measurement date is not indicative of historical revenue and may not be indicative of our revenue for any future period. The determination of the number of customers with $100,000 or more of revenue on a TTM basis is based on our internal records and involves judgment, including in determining which accounts should be aggregated and treated as belonging to the same organization. We apply our most current customer records in calculating this metric, and our determination of which accounts belong to a single organization may change over time, including as a result of acquisitions and account consolidations. We do not separately define or internally track a category of “enterprise” customers, and our customers are not segmented or measured internally by reference 67
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